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Nvidia results burnish AI rally, lift global tech shares

Nvidia results burnish AI rally, lift global tech shares

On the morning of August 24th, the stock market experienced a notable surge as Nvidia’s shares (NVDA.O) soared by 8.5% in premarket trading. This sudden jump not only uplifted Nvidia’s value but also had a ripple effect across the global tech sector. The driving force behind this surge was Nvidia’s impressive quarterly revenue forecast, which exceeded all expectations. Adding to the excitement, the company also announced a substantial $25 billion buyback program, further boosting investor confidence.

Nvidia’s remarkable results unveiled the previous evening, were fueled by a remarkable surge in demand for its chips, driven by the widespread adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) technology. This achievement is poised to solidify Nvidia’s position as the first-ever trillion-dollar market-value chip company. In response to this positive news, Nvidia’s shares surged to $510.14 during premarket trading, a figure set to surpass the record high of $481.87 attained earlier in the same week. Impressively, the value of Nvidia’s shares has tripled over the course of this year.

Market analysts have offered their perspectives on this development. Hargreaves Lansdown analyst Sophie Lund-Yates noted, “Bears will be arguing that at some point, the valuation will start to appear full. Luckily for Nvidia, a cursory glance would suggest there aren’t many bears around.” The sentiment among analysts seems largely positive, with more than 20 brokerages raising their target price for Nvidia based on its earnings report. Notably, Elazar Advisors displayed the most bullish stance, setting a target price of $1,600, which implies a three-fold increase in the stock’s value from its current levels.

In terms of consensus among analysts, the median price target for Nvidia’s stock is approximately $600, with Rosenblatt Securities’ ambitious target of $1,100 being the only other projection exceeding $1,000. It’s worth noting that Nvidia’s pivotal role in enabling technologies like ChatGPT and other generative AI applications has significantly contributed to its rise. Nearly all of these AI apps rely on Nvidia’s graphics processors, cementing its position as a crucial player in the AI landscape.

Comparing valuation metrics, Nvidia currently trades at around 39 times the consensus earnings for the next 12 months. This is in contrast to a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 80 observed in May when Nvidia projected a revenue growth of over 50%. Such data underscores the company’s impressive performance and its relative value in the market.

Analysts at Bernstein, led by Stacy Rasgon, emphasized that while investors have sought alternative ways to capitalize on the AI trend, Nvidia remains a top choice due to its strong performance. “Given the magnitude of earnings revisions, we suspect the stock will still come out cheaper than it was going into the print,” they remarked.

This substantial positive news from Nvidia has had a cascading effect on the broader stock market. The rally in Nvidia’s shares is bolstering the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100, which has seen a more than 1% jump in futures trading. Similarly, S&P 500 futures have risen by 0.7%, further reflecting the positive sentiment stemming from Nvidia’s success.

Other companies in the AI-related chip sector also experienced a surge in their stock prices. Nvidia’s competitor, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD.O), along with Micron Technology (MU.O), Broadcom (AVGO.O), and Marvell Technology (MRVL.O), saw their premarket shares rise by percentages ranging from 2.8% to 5.4%. Even Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC) (2330. TW), a key supplier to Nvidia, observed a 2.2% increase in its share value.

Beyond the immediate market impact, European chip companies also enjoyed a boost in their shares. ASM International, BE Semiconductor, and Aixtron experienced gains of nearly 2% each, contributing to a 1.1% rise in Europe’s tech index (.SX8P).

Nvidia’s impressive earnings report on August 24th triggered a substantial market response. The substantial increase in its share price, coupled with the announcement of a significant buyback program, propelled tech shares globally. Nvidia’s dominance in the AI sector, evident through its role in empowering AI applications like ChatGPT, has underpinned its robust performance. While discussions about valuation continue, analysts generally perceive Nvidia as a strong choice for investors seeking exposure to the AI boom. This surge also confirmed the narrative that has driven the technology sector’s growth throughout the year, solidifying its importance in the overall market landscape.


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